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ASPECT - Facilitating seamless climate adaptation

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ASPECT is a Horizon Europe Research and Innovation Action project that will produce and improve seamless climate predictions covering the next 30 years to facilitate adaptation decisions in a range of sectors.

Climate information will be co-produced by working closely with stakeholders from societally important sectors, such as agriculture, finance and governance, to ensure their needs are addressed. ASPECT aims to provide useful and usable seamless climate predictions that span across timescales, spatial scales and decision-making levels.

The project, will focus on European climate, while looking more widely into policy-interest areas, such as disaster preparedness, and other regions of the world that directly or indirectly impact Europe. The list of planned outputs from the ASPECT project is ambitious and will hopefully facilitate adaptation decisions in Europe.

ASPECT-projektets logotyp.

Project goals

The goals of the project are divided into six objectives:

  • Improving seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) forecasts, where improvements are targeted on user-driven metrics
  • Pioneering new extended initialised forecasts up to 30 years ahead
  • Pioneering new approaches to join the best forecasts on seasonal / 1–5-year / 5–30-year time-scales together
  • Designing and implementing new ways to extract high-resolution information on extremes
  • Exploring how users can get value from considering information on seasonal / 1–5-year / 5– 30-year time-scales together to improve decision making
  • Designing and implementing a delivery system for the data and methods produced
Figur som beskriver vad projektet ska åstadkomma.

About the project

SMHI’s role

Ralf Döscher is managing SMHI’s part of the project. SMHI contributes with

  • analysis and improvement of global climate prediction (WP2), with a focus on precipitation and North Atlantic oceans temperature variability
  • event-based downscaling (WP3), where a system for convection-permitting modelling of extreme events in recent and future climate is developed, which can be applied efficiently with moderate computational resources (in comparison to expensive classical climate modelling approaches)
  • User interaction (WP4 and WP5). SMHI contributes to specific use cases

Partners

ASPECT is a project coordinated by the Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC). The consortium consists of eight partners and three UK associated partners covering a range of physical science, social science and IT disciplines including climate prediction, climate projection, impacts and applications, communication, user engagement and co-development, climate service design and delivery, and data management.

Funding

ASPECT has received funding by the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation action programme.

Timeline

2023-2026

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